Marzo, Massimiliano
(2004)
Volatility Matters: Taylor Rules and Capital Accumulation.
Bologna:
Dipartimento di Scienze economiche DSE,
p. 21.
DOI
10.6092/unibo/amsacta/4780.
In: Quaderni - Working Paper DSE
(512).
ISSN 2282-6483.
Full text available as:
Abstract
The operational performance of a set of simple monetary pol-
icy rules à la Taylor in a model with capital accumulation and nominal and real
rigidities is discussed with a special emphasis on the volatility of output, nominal
rate and in.ation rate. Within an enriched modelling framework it is shown that
output targeting plays a more crucial role than what has been assessed in the current
literature for models without capital accumulation. In fact, with a small value of
the output targeting coefficient, monetary authority is not completely successfull in
stabilizing the volatility of output, nominal rate and inflation rate only by acting on
inflation targeting. Moreover, a too strong concerns towards inflation relatively to
output translates into a lower ability to control inflation volatility, together with a
strong policy reaction with respect to an exogenous shock hitting the economy. Im-
pulse response analysis shows that the risk of an excessive concerns towards inflation
might end up in counterproductive results on output, after a positive technological
shock. The model also shows a better internal propagation mechanism than what
has been previously showed. Finally, the results show that it is no longer possible
to miss capital accumulation in modelling monetary policy analyses and calls for
further generalizations of the existing modelling framework.
Abstract
The operational performance of a set of simple monetary pol-
icy rules à la Taylor in a model with capital accumulation and nominal and real
rigidities is discussed with a special emphasis on the volatility of output, nominal
rate and in.ation rate. Within an enriched modelling framework it is shown that
output targeting plays a more crucial role than what has been assessed in the current
literature for models without capital accumulation. In fact, with a small value of
the output targeting coefficient, monetary authority is not completely successfull in
stabilizing the volatility of output, nominal rate and inflation rate only by acting on
inflation targeting. Moreover, a too strong concerns towards inflation relatively to
output translates into a lower ability to control inflation volatility, together with a
strong policy reaction with respect to an exogenous shock hitting the economy. Im-
pulse response analysis shows that the risk of an excessive concerns towards inflation
might end up in counterproductive results on output, after a positive technological
shock. The model also shows a better internal propagation mechanism than what
has been previously showed. Finally, the results show that it is no longer possible
to miss capital accumulation in modelling monetary policy analyses and calls for
further generalizations of the existing modelling framework.
Document type
Monograph
(Working Paper)
Creators
Subjects
ISSN
2282-6483
DOI
Deposit date
09 Mar 2016 15:27
Last modified
09 Mar 2016 15:27
URI
Other metadata
Document type
Monograph
(Working Paper)
Creators
Subjects
ISSN
2282-6483
DOI
Deposit date
09 Mar 2016 15:27
Last modified
09 Mar 2016 15:27
URI
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